Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Dalga Arena (Baku)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV


	Zira		Osijek

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.52	3.05	2.99
	2.46	3.27	2.84	Watch
	2.48	3.3	2.89	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.71)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	2.86 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
37.9%

Draw
29.3%

Osijek
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	31.8%	36.4%

Zira - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Osijek will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zira: 14.1% – 55.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Tiago Silva (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 3. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 70. Djibrilla I. 15. Zebli P. 8. Ibrahimli I. 18. Martins Junior 23. Raphael Utzig 90. Volkovi D. 6. Kuliyev E.	1. Cavlina N. (G) 36. Omerovic N. 26. Jelenic L. 14. Soldo M. 22. Jurisic R. 66. Pusic P. 6. Nejasmic D. 7. Jugovic V. (C) 34. Matkovic A. 9. Ademi K. 39. Bukvic D.
Substitutes
5. Acka S. 11. Ahmadzada R. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 16. Bayramov F. 21. Hacyly H. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 7. Isayev M. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 29. Nuriyev C. 19. Soumah S.	43. Babic D. 46. Baric I. 55. Cvijanovic I. 18. Farkas N. 11. Kewal R. 49. Kolarik I. 31. Malenica M. (G) 98. Mikolcic S. 10. Pedro Lima 15. Sajko T. (G) 4. Vrbanac K.
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Coppitelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Soldo M. 🟨,
29', Martins Junior 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Jugovic V. ⚽, Jurisic R. (A),
39', Jugovic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Aliyev Q. (Pen),
65', Soldo M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
69', Martins Junior ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
69', Kuliyev E. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
74', Jugovic V. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
75', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
78', Omerovic N. 🟨,
80', Volkovi D. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Matkovic A. ⚽, Ademi K. (A),
82', Zebli P. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
84', Bukvic D. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
90', Pusic P. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Volkovi D. ⚽, Nuriyev C. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
106', Djibrilla I. ↓, Isayev M. ↑,
109', Ademi K. 🟨,
111', Jurisic R. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Pusic P. (Pen),
1, Aliyev Q. (Pen),
2, Nejasmic D. (Pen),
2, Ruan Renato (Pen),
3, Ademi K. (Pen),
3, Nuriyev C. (Pen),
4, Pedro Lima (Pen),
4, Isayev M. (Pen),
5, Mikolcic S. (Pen),
5, Raphael Utzig (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Dalga Arena. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Zira in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Osijek is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Osijek have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.08.24	Sabah - Zira	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Osijek - Zira	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Zira	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Zira - DAC Dunajská Streda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WTWWW
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
11.08.24	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Osijek - Zira	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.08.24	Osijek - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Levadia Tallinn - Osijek	0:1 ✺
25.07.24	Osijek - Levadia Tallinn	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Osijek - Zira	1:1

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