Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Diamantopoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	MAXtv To Go


	Osijek		Zira

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.25
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.85	6.1
	1.62	3.71	5.59	Watch
	1.61	3.96	5.63	Watch
	1.55	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.43)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	5.47 ↓ (6.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
58.9%

Draw
24.1%

Zira
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

22.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

23%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osijek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	6.9%	17.2%

Osijek - Zira Predictions

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cavlina N. (G) 36. Omerovic N. 26. Jelenic L. 5. Mkrtchyan S. 22. Jurisic R. 66. Pusic P. 6. Nejasmic D. 7. Jugovic V. (C) 39. Bukvic D. 9. Ademi K. 34. Matkovic A.	97. Tiago Silva (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 4. Ruan Renato 3. Mutsinzi A. 70. Djibrilla I. 18. Martins Junior 8. Ibrahimli I. 21. Hacyly H. 29. Nuriyev C. 11. Ahmadzada R. 90. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
46. Baric I. 55. Cvijanovic I. 3. Duarte A. 18. Farkas N. 11. Kewal R. 49. Kolarik I. 31. Malenica M. (G) 98. Mikolcic S. 10. Pedro Lima 15. Sajko T. (G) 14. Soldo M. 4. Vrbanac K.	5. Acka S. 14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 16. Bayramov F. 7. Isayev M. 6. Kuliyev E. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 23. Raphael Utzig 15. Zebli P.
Coaches
Coppitelli F.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Hacyly H. 🟨,
34', Nuriyev C. 🟨,
37', Pusic P. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Matkovic A. ⚽, Bukvic D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hacyly H. ↓, Zebli P. ↑,
55', Ahmadzada R. ↓, Raphael Utzig ↑,
55', Nuriyev C. ↓, Kuliyev E. ↑,
57', Ibrahimli I. 🟨,
63', Mkrtchyan S. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
67', Jugovic V. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
74', Ademi K. 🟨,
80', Pusic P. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
80', Ademi K. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
85', Cavlina N. 🟨,
86', Djibrilla I. ↓, Isayev M. ↑,
86', Martins Junior ↓, Bayramov F. ↑,
90+5', Duarte A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Raphael Utzig (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Osijek is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Osijek is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
04.08.24	Osijek - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Levadia Tallinn - Osijek	0:1 ✺
25.07.24	Osijek - Levadia Tallinn	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Osijek	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Osijek - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
04.08.24	Zira - Səbail	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Zira	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Zira - DAC Dunajská Streda	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Zira - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:3 penalties ✺
11.07.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWLW

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