Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Znicz Pruszków		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.2	3.5	2.92
	2.26	3.7	3.01
	2.2	3.7	2.94	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.17	3.45	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)	3.44 ↓ (3.52)	2.81 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znicz Pruszków
40.6%

Draw
26.7%

Stal Rzeszów
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Napieraj K. (G) 6. Pawlik M. 5. Jach J. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 8. Proczek T. 80. Plewka P. 9. Majewski R. (C) 30. Yuzvak A. 22. Tabara K. 17. Kazimierczak A.	1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 17. Slawinski O. 7. Lysiak K. 31. Thill S. (C) 46. Lyczko S. 10. Jonathan Junior 9. Masiak K.
Substitutes
20. Borecki M. 10. Ciepiela B. 25. Konieczny D. 21. Mak M. 12. Misztal P. (G) 11. Moskwik P. 53. Nadolski A. 14. Okhronchuk V.	91. Darwish S. 6. Jablonski D. 21. Kadziolka S. 88. Koziol M. (G) 20. Kucharski J. 24. Polap D. 4. Synos M. 18. Wachowiak K. 25. Wolski F.
Coaches
Struhar P.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Kazimierczak A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Thill S. ⚽, Jonathan Junior (A),
38', Sokol D. 🟥,
40', 1 - 2, Jonathan Junior (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 3, Jonathan Junior ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yuzvak A. ↓, Moskwik P. ↑,
46', Koprowski O. ↓, Ciepiela B. ↑,
50', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
56', Plewka P. ↓, Borecki M. ↑,
69', 2 - 3, Tabara K. ⚽,
69', Masiak K. ↓, Wachowiak K. ↑,
72', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
81', Jonathan Junior ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
82', Slawinski O. 🟨,
83', Lyczko S. ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
89', Proczek T. ↓, Mak M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Pruszkow: 11.59% S. Rzeszow: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	S. Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10:15	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Znicz Pruszków - Odra Opole	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLTTT
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
14.03.26	Stal Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stal Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Bytom	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
13.09.25	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	1:0
18.05.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	2:0
10.11.24	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	2:1
07.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	2:0
24.09.23	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2
Polish Division 2
09.04.22	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Rzeszów	1:1
26.09.21	Stal Rzeszów - Znicz Pruszków	3:1

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