Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stal Rzeszów		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.50	1.83	Watch
	3.50	3.40	1.93
	3.45	3.55	1.84
	3.69	3.82	1.97
	3.83	3.91	1.83	Watch
	3.65	3.75	1.90
	3.65	3.65	1.91
	3.35	3.40	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.83)	3.62 ↓ (3.85)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
25.8%

Draw
25.4%

Ruch Chorzów
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

23.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 21. Thiede M. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 66. Leniart M. 17. Madej O. 27. Rittmuller M. 8. Goss S. 29. Listkowski M. 76. Salamon S.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 14. Wojcik F. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 17. Lukic A. 3. del Moral A. 5. Rosol M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. 27. Laskowski K. 9. Pawlowski M. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
22. Bieniaszewski R. 16. Brzek W. 2. Machura W. 11. Masiak K. 19. Musik M. 40. Perduta A. 15. Pukala S. 12. Sokol M. (G) 25. Wolski F.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 6. Chrapek M. 11. Cieslak S. 24. Komor A. 15. Konczkowski M. 7. Kristan J. 88. Rostek K. 95. Szczepan D. 2. Wachowiak K.
Coaches
Zub M.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Szymanski S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Kaczor M. 🟨,
55', Rosol M. 🟨,
61', Salamon S. ↓, Musik M. ↑,
62', Pawlowski M. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
63', Laskowski K. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
63', Rosol M. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
66', Lukic A. 🟨,
77', Krasovskiy V. ↓, Machura W. ↑,
77', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Rostek K. ↑,
81', Thiede M. ↓, Pukala S. ↑,
81', Leniart M. ↓, Brzek W. ↑,
86', Madej O. 🟨,
86', Kristan J. 🟨,
88', Goss S. 🟨,
89', Rostek K. 🟨,
90+2', Lukic A. ↓, Komor A. ↑,
90+6', Wojcik F. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', Listkowski M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Ruch Chorzów is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51% S. Rzeszow: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	S. Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10:15	-5	14
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
14.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	Stal Rzeszów - Chrobry Głogów	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Stal Rzeszów - Rukh Lviv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLLT
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
14.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.02.26	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:1
20.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	4:0
27.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	3:0
21.10.24	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	0:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	1:1
Polish Division 1
26.02.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	2:0
08.08.22	Stal Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	2:3

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