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Current Win Probability
Śląsk Wrocław 50.3%
Draw 25.9%
Polonia Warsaw 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
24.9%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
24.8%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
0%
6.2%
Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Warsaw Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Śląsk Wrocław will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Śląsk Wrocław will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 78. Guercio T. 3. Szota S. (C) 4. Dijakovic M. 8. Llinares M. 81. Sokolowski P. 15. Yriarte J. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 6. Halimi B. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.
96. Kuchta M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 2. Grudniewski M. 4. Szur P. 5. Hoxhallari E. 26. Gnaase D. 17. Dadok R. 23. Skrabb S. 8. Wojciechowski O. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
30. Glogowski B. (G) 29. Jezierski J. 47. Klimek A. 70. Kozak M. 44. Malec M. 33. Matsenko Y. 27. Rosiak M. 24. Sharabura Y. 9. Warchol D.
10. Bajdur M. 77. Buksa A. 30. Cisse S. 99. Durmus I. 21. Kapusta A. 44. Piotrowski B. 16. Poczobut B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 19. Vasin N.
Coaches
Simundza A.
Pawlak M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Skrabb S. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
19', 1 - 0, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Marjanac L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Guercio T. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Wojciechowski O. (A),
60', Halimi B. 🟨,
64', Halimi B. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
64', Marjanac L. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
65', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
67', Szromnik M. 🟨,
73', Sokolowski P. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
73', Guercio T. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
76', 🟨,
79', Dadok R. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
82', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
90', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 9).
Śląsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Polonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Śląsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Śląsk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Poland
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Szromnik M. (G) 
Dijakovic M. 
Llinares M. 
Yriarte J. 
Halimi B. 
Marjanac L. 
Brasido D. 
Hoxhallari E. 
Gnaase D. 
Skrabb S. 
Matsenko Y. 
Cisse S. 
Durmus I. 
Simundza A. 
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