The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zorya Luhansk 39.3%
Draw 28.2%
CSKA Sofia 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27.2%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
21%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zorya Luhansk's form might have worsened.
CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+20%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
18.6%
11.4%
Zorya Luhansk - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
70 users predict this event. Zorya will win (votes: 49 - 70%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 8 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 18.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Zorya: 59.3% โ 80.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Zorya has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (7%), has a good chance of 3rd (62%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
CSKA Sofia has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (3%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Zorya is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches CSKA Sofia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Zorya have a series of guest games.
Recently CSKA Sofia have a series of home games.
Zorya will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Zorya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Zorya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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