Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ukraine	18:00	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
International	15:00	OneFootball TV


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.25	8.75
	1.32	4.75	7.00
	1.38	5.20	8.88
	1.26	6.3	12	Watch
	1.36	4.40	8.75
	1.33	5.14	8.12	Watch
	1.32	5.00	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.2)	5.15 ↓ (6.6)	8.73 ↓ (14.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
70.9%

Draw
18.3%

Zorya Luhansk
10.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

79.1%

14.4%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zorya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 18. Ghram A. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 8. Kryskiv D. 29. Nazaryna Y. 14. Isaque Silva 99. Bruninho 2. Traore L. 11. Newerton	1. Saputin O. (G) 44. Perduta I. 55. Jordan 77. Kushnirenko B. 39. Machelyuk A. 9. Slesar A. 6. Popara D. 18. Boyko M. 27. Jelavic D. 28. Budkivskyi P. (C) 30. Nesterenko I.
Substitutes
30. Alisson 5. Bondar V. 25. Gabriel Carvalho 9. Kaua Elias 49. Luca Meirelles 6. Marlon Gomes 28. Matturro A. 77. Mendoza G. 68. Obah P. 27. Ocheretko O. 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	88. Bah S. 21. Basic J. 4. Eskinja G. 11. Gorbach I. 40. Italo Henrique 5. Janjic A. 10. Juninho 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 3. Kravets V. 7. Rodrigues G. 25. Rybak V. (G) 80. Yurchenko V.
Coaches
Turan A.	Skrypnyk V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Budkivskyi P. 🟨,
31', Traore L. 🟨,
35', Isaque Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruninho ↓, Alisson ↑,
46', Kryskiv D. ↓, Marlon Gomes ↑,
46', Isaque Silva ↓, Obah P. ↑,
61', Budkivskyi P. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
61', Slesar A. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
65', Popara D. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
79', Boyko M. ↓, Eskinja G. ↑,
79', Jelavic D. ↓, Bah S. ↑,
83', Saputin O. 🟨,
85', Ghram A. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
85', Traore L. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 4.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Shakhtar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Shakhtar as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Shakhtar in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar has recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:16 (averaging 1.9:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shakhtar against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:10 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	10	8	1	1	20:5	15	25
7	FK Zorya Luhansk	10	4	3	3	12:13	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Shakhtar Donetsk - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 79.08%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.26	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kryvbas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.26	Zorya Luhansk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.26	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
23.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2
22.09.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0
09.05.25	Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0
10.11.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	3:1
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
22.04.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	2:1
18.04.24	Zorya Luhansk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3

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