Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay


	Zrinjski Mostar		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	2.85	3.5	2.35	Watch
	3	3.51	2.41
	3	3.51	2.41
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	2.89	3.52	2.32
	3.05	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
32%

Draw
27.1%

Legia Warsaw
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

27.2%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	28%	48%

Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 27. Jakovljevic S. 15. Radic S. 91. Ticinovic M. 20. Ivancic A. 8. Zlomislic D. 5. Canadjija D. 25. Cuze M. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 22. Hrvanovic A.	30. Hladun D. (G) 12. Pankov R. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 5. Ribeiro Y. 13. Wszolek P. 99. Slisz B. 21. Celhaka J. 33. Kun P. 27. Josue (C) 9. Kramer B. 20. Muci E.
Substitutes
26. Bradaric F. 10. Kis T. 93. Kozulj Z. 17. Malekinusic M. 2. Marin L. 50. Memija K. 24. Misic P. 55. Niron O. (G) 29. Prskalo A. 9. Sabljic F. 95. Senic M.	8. Augustyniak R. 32. Baku M. 4. Burch M. 22. Elitim J. 17. Gil Dias 28. Gual M. 3. Kapuadi S. 39. Rosolek M. 18. Sokolowski P. 86. Strzalek I. 1. Tobiasz K. (G)
Coaches
Rendulic K.	Runjaic K.

Preview

Zrinjski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinjski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Legia have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Rejczyk F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zrinjski: Magdic M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
22.10.23	Borac Banja Luka - Zrinjski Mostar	0:0 ✺
18.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	3:0 ✺
09.10.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Sloga Doboj	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aston Villa - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
01.10.23	Igman Konjic - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWLW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Legia Warsaw - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	AZ Alkmaar - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.10.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
19.07.16	Legia Warsaw - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0
12.07.16	Zrinjski Mostar - Legia Warsaw	1:1

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