Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1


	Zulte Waregem		Lommel

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.1	4.6
	1.44	4.8	6	Watch
	1.41	5.23	6.25
	1.43	4.97	6.1	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6
	1.43	4.77	6.28	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.74 ↑ (4.24)	5.94 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
64.6%

Draw
19.7%

Lommel
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

21.6%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

20.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Zulte Waregem - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: Zulte Waregem will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van der Gouw E. (G) 19. Nyssen B. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 55. Cappelle Y. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 11. Gavriel S. 24. Erenbjerg J. 22. Opoku J. 20. Hedl T.	23. Pieklak M. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 14. Tolinsson J. 5. Wouters D. (C) 34. Owari H. 6. Pelupessy J. 18. McGrath D. 98. Boukammiri M. 20. Siri N. 27. Lalic L. 9. van Duiven J.
Substitutes
14. Barkarson A. 1. Bostyn L. (G) 7. Challouk Y. 47. Labie A. 21. Nnadi T. 12. Paugain W. 58. Simons J. 10. Traore A.	38. Amankwah Y. 66. Franssen T. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 56. Lama J. 64. Letsosa T. 17. Montano J. 11. Santos A. 10. Vetokele I. 4. Wuytens S.
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Johnson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Lalic L. 🟨,
66', McGrath D. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
69', Gavriel S. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
71', Lalic L. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
76', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Van Keymolen S. ↑,
77', Aguilar K. ↓, Amankwah Y. ↑,
86', Nyssen B. 🟨,
86', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Boukammiri M. (Pen),
90+2', Amankwah Y. 🟥,
90+3', Wouters D. 🟨,
90+4', Rommens N. (Pen),
90+6', Pieklak M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waregem won 1.

Recent matches Waregem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lommel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Waregem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Waregem is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Waregem won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Waregem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.02.25	Beveren - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Zulte Waregem - Genk U23	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Lierse - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Zulte Waregem - Eupen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTW
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.03.25	Lommel - Seraing	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Lommel - Beveren	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Anderlecht U23 - Lommel	5:0 ✺
07.02.25	Lommel - Brugge U23	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Eupen - Lommel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.12.24	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:2
01.05.24	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:0
27.04.24	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	1:1
10.02.24	Zulte Waregem - Lommel	0:3
27.10.23	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	1:1
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Lommel - Zulte Waregem	0:1

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