Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem)

Referee: Clerkx K. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1


	Zulte Waregem		Genk U23

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	5.75	Watch
	1.36	5	6.2	Watch
	1.35	5.68	7.14
	1.37	5.3	6.75	Watch
	1.36	5	7
	1.34	5.15	7.03	Watch
	1.36	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 (1.35)	5.2 ↓ (5.26)	6.58 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
68.2%

Draw
17.8%

Genk U23
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

17.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

16.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Zulte Waregem - Genk U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Zulte Waregem will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van der Gouw E. (G) 19. Nyssen B. 3. Lemoine L. 31. Willen L. 55. Cappelle Y. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 11. Gavriel S. 20. Hedl T. 22. Opoku J. 7. Challouk Y.	82. Vliegen O. (G) 2. Pierre K. 63. Wasinski M. 22. Manguelle B. 50. Youndje K. 87. Yasuda K. 65. Akpan C. 60. Lazar S. E. 15. Claes T. 64. Yokoyama A. 59. Mirisola R.
Substitutes
14. Barkarson A. 1. Bostyn L. (G) 59. Demuynck D. 47. Labie A. 21. Nnadi T. 12. Paugain W. 64. Sergeant T. 99. Simons J. 10. Traore A. 58. Van Keymolen S.	75. Caicedo A. 62. Cauwel M. 52. Da Costa W. 89. Kim M. 73. Mbavu E. 74. Nuozzi C. 58. Oyatambwe M. 71. Stevens B. (G) 80. Toure S.
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Van Rumst J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Demba P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Lazar S. E. ↓, Da Costa W. ↑,
60', Pierre K. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
60', Yasuda K. ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Hedl T. ⚽, Nyssen B. (A),
70', Da Costa W. 🟨,
71', Challouk Y. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Opoku J. ⚽, Gavriel S. (A),
78', Akpan C. 🟨,
78', Akpan C. ↓, Cauwel M. ↑,
78', Yokoyama A. ↓, Toure S. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Manguelle B. ⚽, Youndje K. (A),
84', Gavriel S. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
84', Caicedo A. 🟨,
85', Opoku J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
90+2', Nnadi T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Waregem is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Genk U23 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Genk U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Waregem is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Waregem won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Waregem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.02.25	Lierse - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	RAAL La Louvière - Zulte Waregem	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Zulte Waregem - Eupen	3:2 ✺
19.01.25	RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Zulte Waregem - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWTW
- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.02.25	Genk U23 - Eupen	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Genk U23 - Beveren	3:3 ✺
28.01.25	Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23	4:1 ✺
24.01.25	RWDM Brussels - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.24	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:3
21.01.24	Zulte Waregem - Genk U23	1:1
15.09.23	Genk U23 - Zulte Waregem	2:4

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