Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Referee: Enomoto K. (Jpn)


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.78
	4	3.75	1.75
	4.08	3.86	1.88
	4	3.4	1.78
	3.7	3.88	1.89	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.86)	3.66 ↑ (3.28)	1.82 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
23.8%

Draw
25.4%

Júbilo Iwata
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zweigen Kanazawa's form might have worsened.

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Júbilo Iwata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Júbilo Iwata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kanazawa will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kanazawa: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 0.

Kanazawa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Iwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Iwata have a series of home games.

Iwata will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kanazawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Kanazawa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J2 League
16.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Iwaki	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Vegalta Sendai - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
16.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
12.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Mito HollyHock - Júbilo Iwata	1:5 ✺
Japan J League Cup
05.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.08.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
29.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
18.10.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
23.08.20	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	6:0
13.09.15	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	0:3
06.06.15	Júbilo Iwata - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1

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