Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	20:30	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2


	Zürich		Winterthur

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.35
	2.08	3.82	3.5
	1.93	3.94	3.57	Watch
	2	3.5	3.3
	1.98	3.68	3.45	Watch
	2	3.75	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.63)	3.71 ↓ (4.05)	3.43 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
47.2%

Draw
25.4%

Winterthur
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zürich's form might have worsened.

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Zürich - Winterthur Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Winterthur will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zürich: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Winterthur (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zürich will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zürich (votes: 4 - 80%). Winterthur (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huber S. (G) 2. Kamberi L. (C) 35. Vujevic D. 42. Hack A. 3. Comenencia L. 6. Tsawa C. 15. Palacio N. 7. Krasniqi B. 14. Di Giusto N. 19. Keny P. P. 11. Emmanuel U.	1. Kapino S. (G) 24. Sidler S. 16. Arnold R. (C) 33. Citherlet T. 3. Smith R. 45. Jankewitz A. 22. Durrer A. 23. Kasami P. 8. Golliard T. 17. Hunziker A. 10. Schneider R.
Substitutes
18. Bangoura M. 25. Brecher Y. (G) 34. Fiorini C. 47. Fischer P. 48. Ihendu K. 22. Kablan C. 49. Ramic D. 29. Reverson D. 44. Walker S.	9. Buess R. 38. Camara S. 18. Diaby S. 31. Kryeziu M. 35. Maksutaj L. 37. Maluvunu E. 5. Muhl L. 26. Sahitaj L. 75. Spagnoli A. (G)
Coaches
Hediger D.	Rahmen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Di Giusto N. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Keny P. P. ⚽, Krasniqi B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Smith R. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
46', Kasami P. 🟨,
64', Di Giusto N. ↓, Kablan C. ↑,
67', Hunziker A. 🟨,
68', Palacio N. 🟨,
74', Palacio N. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
74', Tsawa C. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
74', Golliard T. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
74', Sidler S. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
83', Keny P. P. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Bangoura M. 🟨,
86', Jankewitz A. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
87', Emmanuel U. ↓, Fischer P. ↑,
90', Maluvunu E. 🟨,
90+2', Reverson D. 🟨,
90+7', Kryeziu M. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 0, Keny P. P. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 3.

Zürich has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Winterthur is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Winterthur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zürich has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zürich is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zurich	11	5	2	4	20:23	-3	17

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Zurich: 2.02%

Last Results with these Odds

Zürich - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Winterthur - the odds 4.53 are the expected chance of winning is 20.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
08.02.26	Basel - Zürich	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4 ✺
18.01.26	Servette - Zürich	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Zürich	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- FC Winterthur
Swiss Super League
07.02.26	Winterthur - Lugano	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lugano - Winterthur	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Sion - Winterthur	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Magdeburg - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
13.12.25	Zürich - Winterthur	2:2
30.08.25	Winterthur - Zürich	1:3
13.05.25	Zürich - Winterthur	4:1
05.04.25	Winterthur - Zürich	0:0
06.02.25	Winterthur - Zürich	0:2
28.07.24	Zürich - Winterthur	4:2
12.05.24	Winterthur - Zürich	1:3

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