Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Schützenwiese (Winterthur)

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5


	Winterthur		Lausanne-Sport

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.5	Watch
	4	4	1.75
	2.48	3.6	2.48
	2.63	3.85	2.6
	2.83	3.48	2.43	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.45
	2.51	3.55	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (4.08)	2.4 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
34.3%

Draw
26%

Lausanne-Sport
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

23.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.

Lausanne-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne-Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne-Sport than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne-Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Winterthur - Lausanne Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Lausanne-Sport will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lausanne-Sport: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Winterthur (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 1 - 50%). Lausanne-Sport (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kapino S. (G) 27. Rohner F. 21. Luthi L. 31. Kryeziu M. 18. Diaby S. 10. Schneider R. 7. Zuffi L. (C) 23. Kasami P. 8. Golliard T. 17. Hunziker A. 99. Burkart N.	25. Letica K. (G) 6. Bergvall T. 14. Mouanga K. (C) 5. Ngonzo D. 93. Fofana S. 91. Mollet F. 8. Roche J. 27. Lekoueiry B. 11. Butler-Oyedeji N. 78. Janneh O. 7. Ajdini A.
Substitutes
16. Arnold R. 9. Buess R. 6. Essiam E. 45. Jankewitz A. 35. Maksutaj L. 37. Maluvunu E. 24. Sidler S. 3. Smith R. 75. Spagnoli A. (G)	9. Bair T. 1. Castella T. (G) 10. Custodio O. 70. Diakite G. 22. Kana-Biyik E. 47. N'Diaye S. 18. Poaty M. 59. Renovales O. 71. Sow K.
Coaches
Rahmen P.	Basha M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Rohner F. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Burkart N. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
14', Zuffi L. 🟨,
17', Lekoueiry B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lekoueiry B. ↓, Diakite G. ↑,
46', Ajdini A. ↓, Renovales O. ↑,
49', Renovales O. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Janneh O. ⚽,
60', Diaby S. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
61', Kasami P. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Hunziker A. ⚽, Rohner F. (A),
67', Mollet F. ↓, Custodio O. ↑,
67', Fofana S. ↓, Poaty M. ↑,
69', Burkart N. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
69', Rohner F. ↓, Sidler S. ↑,
76', Mouanga K. 🟨,
77', Kryeziu M. ↓, Arnold R. ↑,
81', Butler-Oyedeji N. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
84', Bergvall T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2.

Winterthur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lausanne-Sport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lausanne-Sport is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Winterthur: Brogli N. (Inactive) Cueni S. (Yellow Cards) Stillhart B. (Injury)

There will not play in Lausanne-Sport: Abdallah H. (Knee Injury) Bruchez E. (Pelvis Injury) Diakite G. (Inactive) Kana-Biyik E. (Injury) Kone S. (Injury) Lippo R. (Injury) Sigua G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lausanne-Sport: Janneh O. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:39. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7:15	-8	6

Last Results with these Odds

Lausanne-Sport - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Winterthur
Swiss Super League
02.05.26	Winterthur - Zürich	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Servette - Winterthur	5:3 ✺
11.04.26	Winterthur - Grasshoppers	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Lausanne-Sport
Swiss Super League
02.05.26	Lausanne-Sport - Luzern	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Lausanne-Sport - Zürich	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sion - Lausanne-Sport	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Luzern - Lausanne-Sport	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
04.04.26	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	2:1
31.01.26	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	2:1
27.07.25	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	3:2
12.04.25	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	1:0
Swiss Cup
05.12.24	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	0:3
Swiss Super League
09.11.24	Winterthur - Lausanne-Sport	1:0
20.10.24	Lausanne-Sport - Winterthur	2:0

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