Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 15

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Água Santa		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	2	3.15	3.35
	2.02	3.25	3.57
	2	3.26	3.48	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.99	3.16	3.54
	1.92	3.22	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.88)	3.17 ↓ (3.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
45.5%

Draw
28.7%

Osasco Sporting
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

28.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Água Santa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Água Santa - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Nene Bonilha ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Cristiano ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Água Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )

Água Santa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Osasco Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Água Santa might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Água Santa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Osasco Sporting - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 24.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Água Santa - Grêmio Prudente	4:3 ✺
21.02.26	Água Santa - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	São José-SP - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.26	Osasco Sporting - Ituano	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Internacional de Limeira - Osasco Sporting	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Osasco Sporting - Votuporanguense	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
17.08.22	Osasco Sporting - Água Santa	1:1
13.07.22	Água Santa - Osasco Sporting	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.05.21	Água Santa - Osasco Sporting	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.16	Osasco Sporting - Água Santa	1:0

Água Santa - Osasco Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide