The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osasco Sporting 35.1%
Draw 31.4%
Ituano 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
32.2%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
32.4%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Osasco Sporting - Ituano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Bryam ⚽,
75', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasco Sporting won 1.
Osasco Sporting is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ituano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Osasco Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osasco Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Osasco Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Ituano - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.