Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá)
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 |
|
 |
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Águia de Marabá |
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Tocantinópolis |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.45 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.79 |
5 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.68 |
5.12 |
 Watch |
 |
1.62 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.6 |
7.32 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.55) |
3.58 ↑
(3.53) |
5.36 ↓
(6.04) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá
57.6% | Draw
25.4% | Tocantinópolis
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Silva A. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Hitalo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 1, Silva A. ⚽,
- 65', 🟥,
- 68', 3 - 1, Diogo Carlos ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Águia de Marabá is seen as the favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 11.04.26 | Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá | 2:2 | | 12.06.24 | Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis | 0:0 | | 09.06.24 | Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá | 3:0 | | 12.06.16 | Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis | 1:0 |
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