Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 19

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Águila		Chalatenango

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.2	6.5
	1.45	3.65	5.8
	1.47	4.13	7.6
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.4	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	4.06 ↑ (3.82)	6.72 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
64%

Draw
22.4%

Chalatenango
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

27.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chalatenango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águila won 3.

Recent matches Águila is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chalatenango is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chalatenango could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águila is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Águila won 13 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 39-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Águila won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
22.04.23	Jocoro - Águila	0:1 ✺
19.04.23	Águila - Santa Tecla	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	CD FAS - Águila	2:1 ✺
05.04.23	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT
- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
23.04.23	Chalatenango - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:3 ✺
19.04.23	Alianza San Miguel - Chalatenango	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Chalatenango - CD FAS	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.03.23	Chalatenango - Águila	1:2
20.10.22	Chalatenango - Águila	1:2
28.09.22	Águila - Chalatenango	2:0
16.04.22	Chalatenango - Águila	0:0
12.02.22	Águila - Chalatenango	0:1
02.11.21	Chalatenango - Águila	1:1
25.08.21	Águila - Chalatenango	2:1

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