Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)


	Alianza San Miguel		Chalatenango

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.5	3.55	5.3
	1.59	3.79	5.85
	1.55	3.88	5.45	Watch
	1.54	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)	3.77 ↓ (4.55)	5.27 ↓ (7.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
58.7%

Draw
24.1%

Chalatenango
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

18.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza San Miguel's form might have worsened.

Chalatenango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chalatenango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Alianza San Miguel - Chalatenango Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 3.

Recent matches Alianza San Miguel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chalatenango is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Alianza San Miguel is a favorite.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Alianza San Miguel won 19 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 56-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza San Miguel won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
16.04.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Marte - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
29.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Jocoro	5:2 ✺
25.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLWW
- CD Chalatenango
El Salvador Primera Division
16.04.23	Chalatenango - CD FAS	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Chalatenango - CD Dragón	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Chalatenango	0:1 ✺
29.03.23	Santa Tecla - Chalatenango	2:3 ✺
26.03.23	Chalatenango - Isidro Metapán	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
05.02.23	Chalatenango - Alianza San Miguel	0:1
24.03.22	Chalatenango - Alianza San Miguel	2:0
26.01.22	Alianza San Miguel - Chalatenango	3:1
20.10.21	Alianza San Miguel - Chalatenango	1:0
11.08.21	Chalatenango - Alianza San Miguel	2:1
10.03.21	Alianza San Miguel - Chalatenango	4:0
17.02.21	Chalatenango - Alianza San Miguel	0:1

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