Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Águila		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1	Watch
				Watch
	3.61	3.15	2.22
	3.41	3.02	2.22	Watch
	2.98	3.26	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	3.13 ↑ (2.58)	2.18 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
28.2%

Draw
29.5%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

35.3%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

35.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Águila - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Ceren D. ⚽, Caballero M. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Bengtson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, Caballero M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Benguche J. ⚽,

Preview

Águila has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Águila may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Águila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Águila won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
17.08.25	Águila - Municipal Limeño	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.25	Águila - Hércules	2:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
10.08.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Xelajú - Águila	3:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
02.08.25	CD FAS - Águila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWTLL
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.25	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Hércules - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
22.08.24	Águila - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:0

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