Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Motagua		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.4
	2.76	3.1	2.58
	2.75	3.11	2.6	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.71	2.84	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.33)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
33.7%

Draw
30.3%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1.

In recent matches, Motagua has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
09.04.26	CD Marathón - Motagua	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Motagua - Génesis PN	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Motagua - Real España	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Platense - Motagua	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWW
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
08.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Juticalpa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:6 ✺
18.03.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Génesis PN - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
22.02.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	0:1
20.12.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1
17.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:0
16.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:2
02.08.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2
20.04.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:2
15.02.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2

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