Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Águilas		Calvo Sotelo Puertollano

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.6
	1.66	3.3	4.8
	1.79	3.3	4.1
	1.74	3.5	4.94
	1.72	3.1	4.75
	1.74	3.32	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	4.67 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
53%

Draw
27.5%

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

18.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvo Sotelo Puertollano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Águilas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Calvo Sotelo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Calvo Sotelo have a series of home games.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Melilla - Águilas	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Hércules - Águilas	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Águilas - Almería	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Águilas - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Melilla	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Alzira - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Girona	1:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLLL

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