The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Melilla 41.7%
Draw 30.2%
Águilas 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
30.9%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.4%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melilla's performance.
Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águilas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Melilla - Águilas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Castedo J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.