Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Águilas		Estepona

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.05	4.75
	1.78	2.96	5.01
	1.78	2.98	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3 ↓ (3.2)	4.92 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
51.4%

Draw
30.2%

Estepona
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Águilas - Estepona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Águilas (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Enriquez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 2 - 0, Martinez C. (Pen),
81', 2 - 1, Aguilera J. ⚽,
90+1', Hidalgo A. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Águilas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estepona is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Águilas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Águilas is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Minera - Águilas	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Águilas - Melilla	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	CD Extremadura - Estepona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Estepona - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.25	Estepona - Águilas	3:1
13.10.24	Águilas - Estepona	0:0
21.01.24	Águilas - Estepona	1:0
10.09.23	Estepona - Águilas	2:1

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