Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		UCAM Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.25	3.25	3.35
	2.2	3.08	3.24	Watch
	2.19	3.4	3.14
	2.2	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.73)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.22 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
42%

Draw
29.3%

UCAM Murcia B
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Murcia B's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Rubira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Yoldi A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Murcia B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	UCAM Murcia B	5	1	2	2	8:6	2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
11.01.26	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWW
- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	UCAM Murcia B - Yeclano B	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Minerva - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	UCAM Murcia B - Pulpileño	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Muleño - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	1:3
26.01.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	0:1
15.09.24	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	0:0
11.02.24	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	0:1
24.09.23	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	2:0
29.01.23	Real Murcia B - UCAM Murcia B	0:1
02.10.22	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	0:1

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