Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)


	Åland United		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.5
	1.31	4.95	6.9
	1.29	5.04	7.15
	1.33	5.00	7.14	Watch
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.29	5.15	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)	4.84 ↑ (4)	6.79 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åland United
68.1%

Draw
18.7%

Ilves
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.9%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Åland United's performance.

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Åland United - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niiranen L. (G) 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 19. Pitko N. 2. Ratts A. 14. Torronen A. 9. Tuomala S. 15. Veber V.	31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 2. Hakola L. 7. Heinonen I. 3. Italinna E. 10. Jantti C. 56. Lilja T. 9. Olmala A. 4. Pirila R. 18. Pulkkinen E. 14. Rasinen A. (C) 17. Tarkkanen A.
Substitutes
11. Antikainen N. 18. Hansell E. 7. Nambi V. 22. Nordberg O. 5. Nurmi A. 17. Nyvall C. 13. Sundelius C. (G) 16. Takanen M.	27. Hertteli P. 19. Kallio I. 1. Korpi J. (G) 11. Lahteenmaki L. 13. Luotonen A. 22. Olmala H. 26. Purhonen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Veber V. ⚽, Jaatinen S. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Pitko N. ⚽, Hagstrom M. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Hagstrom M. ⚽,
34', Ratts A. 🟨,
37', 3 - 1, Lilja T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Tuomala S. 🟨,
58', Tuomala S. ↓, Takanen M. ↑,
58', Torronen A. ↓, Nambi V. ↑,
58', Heinonen I. ↓, Olmala H. ↑,
58', Tarkkanen A. ↓, Lahteenmaki L. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Hagstrom M. ⚽, Nambi V. (A),
68', Lilja T. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
73', Veber V. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
73', Ratts A. ↓, Antikainen N. ↑,
84', Italinna E. ↓, Kallio I. ↑,
86', Hillberg S. ↓, Nyvall C. ↑,
89', Antikainen N. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 4.

In this match, Åland United is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:19. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Åland United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aland Utd W	22	14	1	7	56:30	26	43
5	Ilves W	22	8	2	12	39:45	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åland United
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.04.26	HPS - Åland United	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	HJK - Åland United	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	HPS - Åland United	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Åland United - PK-35 Vantaa	3:1 ✺
07.10.25	Åland United - HPS	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW
- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.04.26	HJK - Ilves	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ilves - VIFK	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ilves - PK-35 Vantaa	2:5 ✺
18.10.25	Ilves - PK-35 Helsinki	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	HJK Akatemia - Ilves	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup Women
20.08.25	Ilves - Åland United	2:5
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
07.07.24	Ilves - Åland United	0:1
20.04.24	Åland United - Ilves	1:3
01.08.23	Åland United - Ilves	3:2
13.05.23	Ilves - Åland United	0:3
13.08.22	Åland United - Ilves	4:0
14.05.22	Ilves - Åland United	1:4

Åland United - Ilves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide