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Current Win Probability
HJK 59.2%
Draw 21.6%
Åland United 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
22.8%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
24.1%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Åland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
HJK - Åland United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Laihanen A. (G) 30. Bethea L. 15. Forsten A. 34. Hillberg L. 71. Kamogawa M. 2. Karvonen N. 27. Kiviranta M. 13. Lassas M. (C) 9. Sarelius K. 8. Suomela R. 44. Tivnan J.
13. Sundelius C. (G) 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 5. Nurmi A. 19. Pitko N. 2. Ratts A. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.
Substitutes
24. Eranka S. 25. Forsstrom S. (G) 5. Gronlund J. 11. Heroum N. 3. Lahikainen A. 7. Rantanen A. 4. Sarelius U. 16. Sarkki J. 18. Ylatalo I.
11. Antikainen N. 3. Degerstedt E. 18. Hansell E. 1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 17. Nyvall C. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Sarelius K. ⚽, Kamogawa M. (A),
33', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Sarelius K. ⚽,
67', Hillberg S. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
68', Nurmi A. ↓, Antikainen N. ↑,
69', Bethea L. ↓, Eranka S. ↑,
80', Veber V. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
80', Ratts A. ↓, Degerstedt E. ↑,
84', Sarelius K. ↓, Ylatalo I. ↑,
85', Pitko N. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
90+1', Forsten A. ↓, Heroum N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4.
HJK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Åland United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, HJK has had a series of away games.
In this match, HJK is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:27. (average 2.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 3.2:1.4).