The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HJK 78.4%
Draw 13.2%
Ilves 8.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
76.4%
12.6%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
HJK - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Laihanen A. (G) 24. Eranka S. 15. Forsten A. 5. Gronlund J. 71. Kamogawa M. 2. Karvonen N. 27. Kiviranta M. 13. Lassas M. 8. Suomela R. 44. Tivnan J. 18. Ylatalo I.
1. Korpi J. (G) 21. Ahonen H. 2. Hakola L. 3. Italinna E. 19. Kallio I. 56. Lilja T. 13. Luotonen A. 22. Olmala H. 18. Pulkkinen E. 14. Rasinen A. 17. Tarkkanen A.
Substitutes
30. Bethea L. 25. Forsstrom S. (G) 34. Hillberg L. 17. Holmstrom I. 3. Lahikainen A. 7. Rantanen A. 4. Sarelius U. 16. Sarkki J.
20. Fomenko W. 41. Jamsa M. 40. Juvonen K. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 39. Mikkonen O. 4. Pirila R. 26. Purhonen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ahonen H. ⚽,
41', Hakola L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', Suomela R. ↓, Bethea L. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Hakola L. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Kiviranta M. ⚽, Ylatalo I. (A),
64', Ylatalo I. ↓, Holmstrom I. ↑,
64', Forsten A. ↓, Rantanen A. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Holmstrom I. ⚽,
71', Tarkkanen A. ↓, Lahteenmaki L. ↑,
73', Pulkkinen E. 🟨,
76', Gronlund J. 🟨,
77', 2 - 3, Rasinen A. ⚽,
78', Pulkkinen E. ↓, Fomenko W. ↑,
83', Gronlund J. ↓, Sarelius U. ↑,
83', Eranka S. ↓, Sarkki J. ↑,
90+1', Rasinen A. ↓, Juvonen K. ↑,
90+3', Kallio I. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Rantanen A. ⚽, Kamogawa M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 5.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Recently, Ilves has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, HJK enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HJK has recorded 20 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:11 (averaging 3.1:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HJK against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 32:2 goals (averaging 2.9:0.2 per game).