Match Info

Date: 13 January 2021, Wednesday


	Ñublense		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.7
	4	3.25	1.73
	4.5	3.45	1.67
	4.84	3.74	1.69
	4.5	3.3	1.73
	4.6	3.68	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.77)	3.49 ↑ (3.18)	1.71 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
20.5%

Draw
26.1%

Unión San Felipe
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

21.5%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ñublense's form might have worsened.

Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión San Felipe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	4%	92%

Ñublense - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 4 - 4%). Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 92 - 92%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión San Felipe: 86.7% – 97.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division and 3 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Promotion to Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Ñublense is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Primera Division

Recent matches Ñublense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión San Felipe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión San Felipe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión San Felipe is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.01.21	Ñublense - Deportes Copiapó	5:0 ✺
06.01.21	Barnechea - Ñublense	2:4 ✺
02.01.21	Ñublense - Deportes Temuco	1:2 ✺
30.12.20	Santiago Morning - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
27.12.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Glasgow Rangers	2:0 ✺
18.12.20	San Marcos de Arica - Unión San Felipe	2:1
15.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
11.12.20	Deportes Copiapó - Unión San Felipe	1:2 ✺
04.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.09.20	Unión San Felipe - Ñublense	0:0
08.09.19	Ñublense - Unión San Felipe	3:1
19.05.19	Unión San Felipe - Ñublense	0:0
02.09.18	Unión San Felipe - Ñublense	0:0
18.03.18	Ñublense - Unión San Felipe	1:1
12.11.17	Unión San Felipe - Ñublense	1:0
04.02.17	Ñublense - Unión San Felipe	0:0

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