Match Info

Date: 30 December 2020, Wednesday


	Santiago Morning		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.4
	2.48	3.15	2.43
	2.55	3.15	2.49
	2.7	3.34	2.57
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.64	3.44	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.4)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.48 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
35.2%

Draw
28.1%

Ñublense
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Morning's performance.

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ñublense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Morning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ñublense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santiago Morning - Ñublense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division).

Santiago Morning is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ñublense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santiago Morning could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ñublense have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
22.12.20	Glasgow Rangers - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
18.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	0:3 ✺
15.12.20	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
10.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.12.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense	1:3 ✺
06.12.20	Cobreloa - Ñublense	4:2
27.11.20	Deportes Valdivia - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
24.11.20	Ñublense - Glasgow Rangers	4:2 ✺
20.11.20	Deportes Puerto Montt - Ñublense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.09.20	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	2:1
28.09.19	Santiago Morning - Ñublense	1:1
24.02.19	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	0:2
29.07.18	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	0:2
24.03.18	Santiago Morning - Ñublense	1:2
15.10.17	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	1:1
05.03.17	Ñublense - Santiago Morning	1:1

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