The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 24.7%
Draw 25.9%
Ñublense 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
24.5%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
24.2%
55.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ñublense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ñublense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Santa Cruz - Ñublense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Dobboletta J. (G) 19. Alegre M. 25. Castillo C. 11. Harbottle K. 24. Maturana M. 6. Munoz L. 3. Pino Villalon J. (C) 7. Rivera Faundez N. A. 16. Rodriguez G. 14. Urzua D. 9. Valdez A.
30. Tapia D. (G) 4. Bosso Torres O. 27. Gonzalez R. 8. Graciani G. 2. Labrin C. 20. Mateos F. (C) 10. Rozas I. 11. Sanchez P. 16. Sanhueza D. 9. Sosa G. 5. Valencia E.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez B. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 4. Contreras J. J. 40. Gonzalez D. 17. Guzman D. 21. Miranda B. 20. Pardo C. 10. Recabal M.
24. Caca 14. Campusano G. 25. Chandia C. 19. Guzman V. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 22. Plaza M. 23. Rodriguez M. 13. Saavedra D. 15. Valencia Cisternas S. A.
Coaches
Nunez Becerra F.
Gaete A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Sanchez P. ⚽, Mateos F. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Valdez A. (Pen),
41', 2 - 1, Maturana M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Sosa G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Rozas I. 🟨,
63', 3 - 2, Harbottle K. ⚽,
64', Graciani G. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
64', Rozas I. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Sosa G. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
66', Alegre M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
66', Maturana M. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
68', Labrin C. 🟨,
71', Gonzalez R. ↓, Campusano G. ↑,
78', Harbottle K. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
82', Alvarez B. 🟨,
90+1', Rivera Faundez N. A. ↓, Carreno J. ↑,
Preview
Deportes Santa Cruz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ñublense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Ñublense is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
Watch
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Dobboletta J. (G) 
Castillo C. 
Rodriguez G. 
Valdez A. 
Caca 
Chandia C. 
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