Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Värnamo		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.55
	2.4	3.4	2.72
	2.36	3.6	2.89
	2.37	3.49	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.35	2.8
	2.32	3.48	2.77	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
39.3%

Draw
26.9%

Falkenberg
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Falkenberg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Värnamo - Falkenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Värnamo has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:26 (averaging 1.2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Värnamo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.7:2.2 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Falkenberg: 5.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	25	13	6	6	46:33	13	45
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
19.09.26	Oddevold - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Värnamo - Öster	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	United Nordic - Värnamo	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWTW
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
18.09.26	Falkenberg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ljungskile - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Falkenberg - Öster	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Falkenberg - Brage	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1
25.10.21	Värnamo - Falkenberg	3:2
01.05.21	Falkenberg - Värnamo	0:3
Club Friendly
09.02.19	Falkenberg - Värnamo	0:1
Swedish Superettan
28.10.18	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Värnamo - Falkenberg	2:1
Swedish Superettan
29.05.18	Värnamo - Falkenberg	1:4

Värnamo - Falkenberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide