Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 18

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örebro		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.87	3.5	3.95
	1.93	3.46	4.17
	1.85	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.48	3.9	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.31)	3.42 ↑ (3.33)	3.87 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
49.2%

Draw
27%

Jönköpings Södra
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Örebro's performance.

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jönköpings Södra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Örebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jönköpings Södra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Örebro - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Jönköping will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örebro: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eskelinen W. (G) 27. Valgeirsson V. 5. Hultqvist D. 26. Andresson A. 12. Larsson J. 8. Walker K. (C) 22. Shlimon L. 6. Crona S. 11. Kroon S. 17. Holmberg K. 7. Seger D.	31. Celic D. (G) 3. Berntsson A. 15. Eriksson A. 19. Ben Lamin A. 2. Engdahl B. 24. Nikolic M. 8. Adrian S. 7. Moenza M. 10. Book R. (C) 26. Zekovic S. 9. Silverholt T.
Substitutes
10. Backman V. 20. Bark A. 21. Barsoum E. 15. Bergmark N. 2. Bjornquist D. 14. Shagaxle H. 13. Strindholm D. (G)	16. Bjurnemark A. 11. Dzelili F. 58. El Kabir O. 30. Eriksson A. (G) 21. Isaksson M. 6. Karlin A. 1. Nilsson A. (G) 27. Nordstrom E.
Coaches
Jardler C.	Garcia A.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örebro won 2.

Recent matches Örebro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jönköping is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jönköping could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Örebro is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Örebro won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
07.08.23	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:2 ✺
31.07.23	Örebro - GAIS	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Sundsvall - Örebro	2:2 ✺
17.07.23	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	Örebro - Öster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTTT
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
05.08.23	Jönköpings Södra - Utsikten	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Öster - Jönköpings Södra	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Utsikten - Jönköpings Södra	2:1 ✺
15.07.23	Jönköpings Södra - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
07.07.23	Landskrona - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.04.23	Jönköpings Södra - Örebro	0:0
05.11.22	Jönköpings Södra - Örebro	1:1
12.04.22	Örebro - Jönköpings Södra	3:1
Club Friendly
24.01.20	Örebro - Jönköpings Södra	0:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.08.17	Jönköpings Södra - Örebro	1:2
03.04.17	Örebro - Jönköpings Södra	2:1
27.10.16	Jönköpings Södra - Örebro	1:1

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