Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 16

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Örebro		GAIS

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.85	3.55	1.87
	3.96	3.62	1.93
	3.5	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.84	3.72	1.83	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
25%

Draw
26.2%

GAIS
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Örebro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	17.6%	52.9%

Örebro - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). GAIS will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eskelinen W. (G) 15. Bergmark N. 5. Hultqvist D. 6. Crona S. 27. Valgeirsson V. 21. Barsoum E. 8. Walker K. 7. Seger D. (C) 12. Larsson J. 20. Bark A. 17. Holmberg K.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. 12. Frej R. 4. Noren A. 5. Andersen N. (C) 9. Lundgren G. 7. Aberg J. 16. Salihovic D. 19. Friday R. 18. Holmstrom A. 11. Lindberg J.
Substitutes
10. Backman V. 2. Bjornquist D. 28. Danho J. 31. Dzevlan A. (G) 19. Mokede M. 3. Nicklasson L. 14. Shagaxle H.	8. Alexandersson V. 2. Binaku E. 22. Cardaklija A. 10. Celik M. 20. Chika C. 33. Krantz E. (G) 25. Lindberg J.
Coaches
Jardler C.	Holmberg F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Örebro won 3.

Örebro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches GAIS is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GAIS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GAIS is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Örebro won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Örebro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
22.07.23	Sundsvall - Örebro	2:2 ✺
17.07.23	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
07.07.23	Örebro - Öster	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.06.23	Örebro - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
11.06.23	GAIS - Örebro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTLL
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
24.07.23	GAIS - Västerås SK	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	GAIS - Gefle	1:1 ✺
09.07.23	Skövde AIK - GAIS	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	GAIS - Örebro	4:0 ✺
06.06.23	Sundsvall - GAIS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
11.06.23	GAIS - Örebro	4:0
Svenska Cupen
16.02.19	Örebro - GAIS	2:1
27.02.16	Örebro - GAIS	3:1
Swedish Superettan
27.10.13	Örebro - GAIS	6:1
19.06.13	GAIS - Örebro	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.11.12	Örebro - GAIS	4:0
05.07.12	GAIS - Örebro	0:1

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