Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mellringe IP (Örebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Örebro Syrianska		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.58
	4.35	4.05	1.62
	3.79	4.26	1.76
	3.77	3.14	2.04	Watch
	4.82	4.1	1.59
	4.3	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.45)	3.91 ↑ (3.9)	1.7 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro Syrianska
21.9%

Draw
23.7%

Karlberg
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.4%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

22.5%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro Syrianska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro Syrianska than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Örebro Syrianska - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Franck O. (G) 23. Bangala D. 3. Conta S. (C) 9. Hadad R. 20. Hassan H. 24. Ilunga D. P. 7. Moses C. 42. Sampson C. 8. Smajic A. 19. Vikgren L. 2. Windahl O.	31. Gkoulios A. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. (C) 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 3. Hellgren I. 21. Khan A. 13. Koc K. 6. Mbye M. 8. Negash N. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 16. Rydell A.
Substitutes
11. Fousseni B. 17. Ilia P. 13. Kawawa K. (G) 14. Shagaxle H. 22. Spanedal I. 4. Warme C. 27. Yonsian F.	14. Allard J. 35. Bojang E. (G) 5. Jahn M. 22. Lindqvist R. 11. Muyenga A. 20. Othman R. 24. Sietsema L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Bangala D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Dudziak K. ⚽,
57', Ilunga D. P. ↓, Yonsian F. ↑,
62', Hadad R. 🟨,
63', Hassan H. ↓, Spanedal I. ↑,
76', Sylla M. ↓, Ilia P. ↑,
76', Vikgren L. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Yonsian F. ⚽,
83', Khan A. ↓, Muyenga A. ↑,
84', Othman R. ↓, Bojang E. ↑,
89', Smajic A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Örebro Syrianska has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Karlberg is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Örebro Syrianska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Örebro Syrianska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro Syrianska IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Arlanda - Örebro Syrianska	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund	0:5 ✺
13.09.25	Haninge - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sollentuna - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Örebro Syrianska - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLL
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Team TG - Karlberg	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Karlstad - Karlberg	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Karlberg - Stocksund	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Karlberg - Haninge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.04.25	Karlberg - Örebro Syrianska	4:1
03.08.24	Karlberg - Örebro Syrianska	3:2
01.06.24	Örebro Syrianska - Karlberg	3:0

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