Match Info

Superettan - Round 9

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Olofsson P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.9
	2.15	3.61	3.11	Watch
	2.17	3.7	3.22
	2.13	3.62	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.62	3.14	Watch
	2.15	3.61	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
44%

Draw
26%

Sandviken
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sandviken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	3.2%	3.2%

Örgryte - Sandviken Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Sandviken (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Örgryte (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Sandviken (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 6. Dyrestam M. 17. Keita M. 15. Dahlqvist I. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 24. Svensson W. 14. Paulson D. (C) 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	1. Sveijer H. (G) 2. Thorn G. (C) 23. Engqvist E. 4. Samuelsson O. 26. Tagesson L. 8. Soderberg D. 15. Olsson F. 10. Simba M. 14. Backman V. 11. Sjostrand O. 9. Bergstrom A.
Substitutes
28. Ahmed I. 19. Andreasson A. 10. Barkroth N. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. 5. Styffe C.	20. Carlsson P. 17. Kouyate M. 13. Lindholm I. 42. Mahammed M. 30. Persson A. (G) 12. Redenstrand C. 6. Vabo L.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Abdulic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sana T. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
44', Svensson W. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Dahlqvist I. ⚽, Keita M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
58', Olsson F. ↓, Mahammed M. ↑,
58', Thorn G. ↓, Redenstrand C. ↑,
67', Svensson W. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
67', Vindehall C. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
70', Backman V. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
70', Simba M. ↓, Carlsson P. ↑,
78', Paulson D. ↓, Karlsson M. ↑,
78', Christoffersson N. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
82', Dyrestam M. ↓, Styffe C. ↑,
82', Samuelsson O. ↓, Kouyate M. ↑,
84', Soderberg D. 🟨,
85', Dahlqvist I. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 0, Barkroth N. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Örgryte is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sandviken is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Örgryte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
16.05.25	Örgryte - Varbergs BoIS	5:1 ✺
12.05.25	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWLW
- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Östersund - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
10.05.25	Sandviken - Umeå	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sandviken - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Landskrona - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Utsikten - Sandviken	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
18.10.24	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:2
26.05.24	Sandviken - Örgryte	3:1
13.11.22	Örgryte - Sandviken	2:3
10.11.22	Sandviken - Örgryte	0:2
Svenska Cupen
16.03.14	Örgryte - Sandviken	2:1

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