Match Info

Superettan - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 6, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Umeå		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.45
	5.75	4.4	1.44
	5.9	4.65	1.46	Watch
	6.1	4.62	1.49
	6	4	1.44
	6.32	4.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↓ (6.26)	4.49 ↓ (5.12)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
15.6%

Draw
20.7%

Kalmar
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

18.3%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

17.5%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Umeå - Kalmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 23. Frigell Jansson L. 5. Hedenquist J. 26. Ekman D. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Tot Wikstrom E. 9. Haga M. H. 25. Gronborg T.	1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 20. Sosseh G. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 37. Kalinauskas T. 10. Jebara C. 9. Stolt M.
Substitutes
16. Bangala D. 8. Hedstrom J. 24. Marklund L. 4. Ohman L. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 7. Vikgren L. 32. Voilas J.	7. Atanga I. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 23. R. Gojani 28. Sabriye A. 19. Ylatupa S.
Coaches
Sjostrom J.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Hedenquist J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Stolt M. ⚽, Kalinauskas T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Persson D. ↓, Marklund L. ↑,
65', Stolt M. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
65', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
77', Haga M. H. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
79', Sosseh G. 🟨,
81', Sosseh G. ↓, R. Gojani ↑,
81', Mamatsashvili S. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
90', R. Gojani 🟨,
90+2', Lindmark S. ↓, Hedstrom J. ↑,
90+2', Gronborg T. ↓, Vikgren L. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In recent matches, Umeå has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kalmar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kalmar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
10.08.25	Trelleborg - Umeå	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Umeå - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Brage - Umeå	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Umeå - Örebro	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Falkenberg - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLTTL
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
10.08.25	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Kalmar - Utsikten	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Kalmar - Brage	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Örebro - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0
Svenska Cupen
21.02.21	Kalmar - Umeå	1:2

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