Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Øygarden		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	2.9	3.45	2.28	Watch
	3.45	3.45	1.96
	3.8	3.66	2.01
	3.5	3.4	2
	3.48	3.65	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.69)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Øygarden
27.4%

Draw
26.6%

Kongsvinger
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

19.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Øygarden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Øygarden's form might have worsened.

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Øygarden than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	28.6%	50%

Øygarden - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Øygarden will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 14 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Øygarden is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kongsvinger will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Øygarden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Øygarden FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.10.20	Jerv - Øygarden	4:2 ✺
17.10.20	Øygarden - Strømmen	1:4 ✺
11.10.20	Lillestrøm SK - Øygarden	3:0 ✺
03.10.20	Øygarden - Ullensaker Kisa	2:1 ✺
28.09.20	Grorud - Øygarden	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.10.20	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Kongsvinger - Jerv	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Kongsvinger - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:2 ✺
28.09.20	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.20	Kongsvinger - Øygarden	1:1

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