Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Quba OIK stadionu (Quba)

Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)


	İmişli		Gabala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.62
	2.61	3.05	2.94
	2.57	2.94	2.75	Watch
	2.63	2.86	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.57)	2.94 (2.94)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
35.2%

Draw
31.2%

Gabala
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

İmişli - Gabala Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. İmişli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gabala will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Sinenko A. (G) 21. Agazada A. 9. Almeida D. 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 5. Inqilably I. 7. Juninho 10. Karaklajic N. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R.	1. Agayev S. (G) 27. Ahmadov E. 13. Aliyev N. 50. Ba Loua A. 74. Damadayev S. 3. Eduardo Kunde 14. Massoumou D. J. 28. Musayev M. (C) 12. Sangare I. 10. Shahniyarov S. 6. Sierra J.
Substitutes
99. Ali I. (G) 22. Aliyev I. 11. Ganbarov V. 44. Isayev H. 97. Mahmudov K. 17. Morgan E. 1. Quliyev H. (G) 77. Rahimzada E. 27. Rzayev L. 3. Yusifli T.	94. Hushanov H. (G) 22. Iskandarov F. 11. Mammadov A. 26. Mustafayev E. 70. Quimbila P. 17. Ramazanov Q. 66. Rashidov N. 21. Shakarkhanov Z. 97. Tagiyev E.
Coaches
Casquilha	Tskhadadze K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Ronaldo 🟨,
31', Musayev M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Massoumou D. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Sangare I. ⚽,
57', Inqilably I. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
57', Karaklajic N. ↓, Mahmudov K. ↑,
61', Eduardo Kunde 🟨,
73', Aliyev N. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Ronaldo ⚽,
77', Agazada A. ↓, Ganbarov V. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Almeida D. ⚽,
85', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
86', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
86', Agayev S. 🟨,
88', Ahmadov E. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
90+3', Almeida D. ↓, Aliyev I. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11)

İmişli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gabala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

İmişli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, İmişli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, İmişli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.10.25	Araz Naxçıvan - İmişli	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	İmişli - Zira	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Karvan - İmişli	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	İmişli - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sabah - İmişli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.4 LTWWW
- FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.10.25	Gabala - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gabala - Kapaz	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Turan Tovuz - Gabala	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Gabala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
13.02.25	İmişli - Gabala	1:2
26.10.24	Gabala - İmişli	0:0
Azerbaijan Cup
19.12.23	İmişli - Gabala	0:1

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