Match Info
Premier League - Round 31Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala)Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
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Gabala |
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Qarabağ Agdam |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5 |
3.8 |
1.52 |
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 |
5.35 |
4.25 |
1.45 |
 Watch |
 |
7.5 |
4.6 |
1.42 |
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 |
4.56 |
3.76 |
1.66 |
Watch |
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5.75 |
4 |
1.44 |
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 |
4.95 |
4.95 |
1.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.52 ↓
(7.26) |
4.23 ↓
(4.38) |
1.5 ↑
(1.36) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gabala
16.7% | Draw
21.8% | Qarabağ Agdam
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qarabağ Agdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Qarabağ (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Qarabağ Agdam will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Agayev S. (C)
27. Ahmadov E.
24.  Akinade I.
13. Aliyev N.
16.  Amoah I.
50.  Ba Loua A.
3.  Eduardo Kunde
33.  Keita S.
30. Owusu P.
10. Shahniyarov S.
6.  Sierra J.
| 99.  Kochalski M. (G)
27. Bayramov T.
17.  Duran C.
55. Huseynov B. (C)
8.  Jankovic M.
20. Kady Borges
15.  Leandro Andrade
2. Matheus Silva
81. Medina K.
35. Pedro Bicalho
10.  Zoubir A.
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| Substitutes |
93. Cafarov R. (G)
74. Damadayev S.
94. Hushanov H. (G)
22. Iskandarov F.
11. Mammadov A.
14.  Massoumou D. J.
28. Musayev M.
70.  Quimbila P.
66. Rashidov N.
12. Sangare I.
| 11. Addai E.
97.  Buntic F. (G)
32. Cabrayilzada H.
18. Dani Bolt
24. Gnali J.
21.  Kashchuk O.
89. Ramazanov A. (G)
77. Sheydayev R.
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| Coaches |
 Tskhadadze K.
| Qurbanov Q.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Duran C. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Akinade I. ⚽,
- 66', Eduardo Kunde ↓, Musayev M. ↑,
- 66', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Massoumou D. J. ↑,
- 74', Ba Loua A. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 78', Ahmadov E. 🟨,
- 79', Bayramov T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Rashidov N. 🟨,
- 85', Akinade I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 0.Gabala has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Qarabağ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Gabala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Qarabağ is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gabala won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:49. (average 0.5:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, Gabala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.5:2.2).
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Last Results with these Odds
Qarabağ Agdam - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 66.74%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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