Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Tovuz şəhər stadionu (Tovuz)

Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		İmişli

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.15	3.44
	2.19	3.04	3.32	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.09	3.02	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.68)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.37 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
42.8%

Draw
30.1%

İmişli
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kapaz's performance.

İmişli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İmişli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kapaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İmişli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kapaz - İmişli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Imanov Y. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 12. Ba M. 14. Fofana A. 11. Haciyev R. 5. Huseynli R. 77. Nabiyev F. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 17. Samadov U. 29. Verdasca D. (C)	1. Quliyev H. (G) 29. Banguera E. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 5. Inqilably I. 7. Juninho 10. Karaklajic N. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R. 6. Yaw M.
Substitutes
20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 6. Cafarov C. 22. Huseynov M. (G) 80. Ismayilov S. 23. Kalantarov F. 10. Ohori R. 99. Samadov A. 88. Seyidov S. 21. Shafiyev S. 57. Yusifov A.	21. Agazada A. 99. Ali I. (G) 79. Cardoso D. 44. Isayev H. 97. Mahmudov K. 17. Morgan E. 30. Mursalli K. 11. Qanbarov V. 70. Tahirov M.
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Casquilha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Ba M. 🟨,
33', Huseynli R. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Salahly A. ⚽, Ronaldo (A),
44', Yaw M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Huseynli R. ↓, Ohori R. ↑,
62', Karaklajic N. ↓, Cardoso D. ↑,
62', Yaw M. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
65', Verdasca D. ↓, Atakishiyev A. ↑,
73', Nabiyev F. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
77', Dos Santos D. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
85', Juninho ↓, Qanbarov V. ↑,
90+3', Qanbarov V. 🟨,
90+3', Quliyev H. 🟨,
90+3', Fofana A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

İmişli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
10.04.26	Karvan - Kapaz	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Kapaz - Gabala	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Zira - Kapaz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 LLWTT
- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.04.26	Gabala - İmişli	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	İmişli - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Neftchi Baku - İmişli	6:0 ✺
14.03.26	İmişli - Sabah	0:5 ✺
08.03.26	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
09.02.26	İmişli - Kapaz	0:0
24.10.25	Kapaz - İmişli	0:3
Azerbaijan Cup
04.12.24	Kapaz - İmişli	1:0

Kapaz - İmişli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide