Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Yevlakh City Stadium (Yevlakh)

Referee: Ismayilli N. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Karvan		Kapaz

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.35	1.82	Watch
	3.85	3.88	1.82
	3.03	3.37	2.17	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.83
	4.06	3.75	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.91)	3.53 ↑ (3.18)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karvan
25%

Draw
26.1%

Kapaz
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.7%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.6%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karvan's form might have worsened.

Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Karvan - Kapaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kapaz will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 14. Cahangirov U. 13. Masimov V. 20. Mickels J. 16. Rustamli R. 5. Rustamov E. 2. Sno S. 11. Spence K. C. 33. Turabov E.	33. Imanov Y. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 12. Ba M. (C) 6. Cafarov C. 14. Fofana A. 11. Haciyev R. 77. Nabiyev F. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 88. Seyidov S. 7. Shahverdiyev E.
Substitutes
17. Abdullayev S. 25. Bulud A. (G) 4. Doyeni O. 10. Durrant S. 1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 8. Kings P. 37. Ngwisani M. 19. Thompson G.	20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 5. Huseynli R. 22. Huseynov M. (G) 80. Ismayilov S. 23. Kalantarov F. 10. Ohori R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 21. Shafiyev S. 57. Yusifov A.
Coaches
Mammadov F.	Bagirov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', Onanuga O. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rustamli R. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Rustamli R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cafarov C. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Nabiyev F. ⚽,
50', Barker I. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Turabov E. ⚽,
71', Cahangirov U. ↓, Thompson G. ↑,
83', Spence K. C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
83', Masimov V. ↓, Ngwisani M. ↑,
83', Mickels J. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
84', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Huseynli R. ↑,
84', Nabiyev F. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
86', Turabov E. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Rustamli R. ⚽,

Preview

Karvan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kapaz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Kapaz has had a series of home games.

Kapaz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
06.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan	7:0 ✺
19.03.26	Karvan - Zira	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karvan - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gabala - Karvan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTT
- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.04.26	Kapaz - Gabala	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Zira - Kapaz	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
05.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.01.26	Karvan - Kapaz	0:0
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.11.25	Karvan - Kapaz	1:2
23.08.25	Kapaz - Karvan	2:3

Upcoming Matches