Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 25

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Bitigen A. (Tur)


	İstanbulspor		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.7	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.82	3.3	2.64
	2.83	3.31	2.69
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.82	3.44	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.6)	2.58 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
34.3%

Draw
29.1%

Gaziantep
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gaziantep might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaziantep could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	33.3%	58.3%

İstanbulspor - Gaziantep Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Arda A. (G) 23. Erdogan O. 4. Yesil M. 14. Deli S. 7. Sambissa D. 8. Temel V. 6. Vorobjovas M. 34. Loshaj F. 66. Yasar A. (C) 19. Gultekin E. 12. Mamadou M.	33. Nita F. (G) 11. Eskihellac M. 4. Kizildag A. 63. N'Koulou N. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 13. Morais J. 50. Markovic L. 23. Monteiro J. 61. Ozcicek O. 44. Maxim A. 70. Dragus D.
Substitutes
13. Coly R. 90. Gedikli E. 28. Kirtas B. 99. Laurentino J. 5. Ozturk E. 20. Sahan O. 41. Samdanli T. 17. Sarialioglu E. A. 26. Serbest M. (G) 88. Traore D.	7. Badji A. 26. Cihan M. 15. Ersoy E. 8. Jevtovic M. 9. Karakas I. 93. Kuzucu M. 22. M'Bakata S. 19. Sen B. (G) 18. Sorescu D. 5. Soyalp F.
Coaches
Yakin H.	Sumudica M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 0.

Recent matches İstanbulspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gaziantep BB is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

İstanbulspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams İstanbulspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Super League
03.02.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
29.01.24	İstanbulspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
22.01.24	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	İstanbulspor - Konyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTLWT
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Cup
07.02.24	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.02.24	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Gaziantep - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sivasspor - Gaziantep	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
22.09.23	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	2:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
09.01.23	İstanbulspor - Gaziantep	1:1
Club Friendly
02.08.19	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	2:1
Turkish First League
26.01.19	İstanbulspor - Gaziantep	2:2
19.08.18	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	1:1
18.02.18	Gaziantep - İstanbulspor	2:0

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