Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Wisła Płock II		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.6	1.88
	2.54	3.45	2.14
	2.61	3.55	2.33	Watch
	3.54	3.6	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
30.2%

Draw
25.6%

Warta Sieradz
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warta Sieradz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warta Sieradz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Mielczarek P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Dari O. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Krawczyk P. (Pen),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Wisła Płock II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Warta Sieradz is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wisła Płock II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Wisła Płock II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock II - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWT
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wasilków	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Znicz Biała Piska	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	3:0
31.08.24	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1

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