Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 29

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Śląsk Wrocław		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.6
	1.83	3.8	3.85
	1.81	3.99	4.18
	1.81	3.96	4.08	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.7
	1.8	3.92	4.01	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.09)	3.78 ↑ (3.48)	3.9 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
51.2%

Draw
24.7%

GKS Katowice
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Śląsk Wrocław that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Katowice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Śląsk (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Śląsk Wrocław will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 3. Szota S. (C) 5. Petkov A. 28. Marc L. B. 29. Jezierski J. 21. Baluta T. 22. Zukowski M. 8. Pozo J. 19. Ortiz A. 9. Al Hamlawi A.	1. Kudla D. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 23. Wasielewski M. 5. Repka O. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 11. Blad A. 27. Nowak B. 7. Bergier S.
Substitutes
6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 26. Ince B. 13. Kurowski K. 1. Loska T. (G) 2. Paluszek A. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 18. Schierack S. 25. Udahl H.	18. Drachal D. 24. Gruszkowski K. 13. Jaroszek B. 14. Komor A. 2. Kuusk M. 10. Mak M. 17. Marzec M. 32. Straczek R. (G) 19. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Petkov A. (Own goal),
43', 0 - 2, Repka O. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Bergier S. 🟨,
60', Matsenko Y. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
60', Baluta T. ↓, Samiec-Talar P. ↑,
60', Pozo J. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
64', Czerwinski A. ↓, Kuusk M. ↑,
65', Blad A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
65', Bergier S. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
70', Galan B. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
70', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
73', Kowalczyk M. 🟨,
77', Kudla D. 🟨,
86', Wasielewski M. ↓, Marzec M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).

Śląsk is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches GKS Katowice is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Śląsk will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Pokorny P. (Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Danek A. (Knee Injury) Rogala G. (Injury) Zrelak A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.25	Cracovia - Śląsk Wrocław	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	1:4 ✺
07.03.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWT
- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.04.25	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	4:0 ✺
30.03.25	GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Widzew Łódź - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
20.10.24	GKS Katowice - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0
Club Friendly
29.06.17	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Katowice	2:0

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