Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Śląsk Wrocław		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.4
	2.01	3.77	3.58
	2	3.52	3.56	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.92	3.45	3.46
	1.99	3.03	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	3.43 ↑ (3.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
46.8%

Draw
26.7%

ŁKS Łódź
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

27.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 16. Kurowski K. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 15. Yriarte J. 26. Wojtczak O. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.	12. Bomba L. (G) 2. Loffelsend J. 6. Rudol S. (C) 22. Craciun A. 28. Falowski K. 11. Norlin G. 16. Wojciechowski M. 20. Wysokinski M. 8. Hinokio K. 9. Arasa A. 99. Piasecki F.
Substitutes
77. Ciucka A. 4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Jambor T. 47. Klimek A. 8. Llinares M. 38. Markowski D. 24. Sharabura Y. 81. Sokolowski P.	10. Ernst S. 40. Jakubowski L. (G) 19. Krykun S. 21. Kupczak M. 90. Lewandowski M. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 3. Patterson J. 80. Toma B. 5. Wiech L.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Hinokio K. 🟨,
40', Samiec-Talar P. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Piasecki F. ⚽, Arasa A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wojtczak O. ↓, Markowski D. ↑,
46', Rosiak M. ↓, Llinares M. ↑,
59', Falowski K. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Matsenko Y. (Own goal),
63', 1 - 2, Kurowski K. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Matsenko Y. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
71', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
80', Marjanac L. ↓, Jambor T. ↑,
82', Norlin G. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
82', Piasecki F. ↓, Ernst S. ↑,
89', Arasa A. ↓, Mlynarczyk A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 3.

Śląsk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ŁKS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

ŁKS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Śląsk might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 8.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
01.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
10.04.26	Polonia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWW
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
07.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Siedlce	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.24	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2
05.11.23	Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź	2:1
Polish Cup
16.08.20	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	3:2 penalties
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.06.20	Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź	4:0
08.11.19	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1

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