Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	ŁKS Łódź		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.85	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.97	6.26
	1.56	3.93	5.96	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.58	3.79	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)	3.77 ↑ (3.43)	5.75 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
59.5%

Draw
24.4%

Pogoń Siedlce
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ŁKS Łódź's performance.

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Siedlce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 2. Loffelsend J. 6. Rudol S. (C) 22. Craciun A. 28. Falowski K. 11. Norlin G. 88. Terlecki K. 20. Wysokinski M. 8. Hinokio K. 99. Piasecki F. 9. Arasa A.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 3. Dembek B. 26. Kolodziejski M. 2. Mis K. 27. Zbrog J. 41. Pakulski D. 16. Poczobut B. 56. Demianiuk C. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C) 13. Podlinski K.
Substitutes
12. Bomba L. (G) 10. Ernst S. 19. Krykun S. 21. Kupczak M. 90. Lewandowski M. 3. Patterson J. 80. Toma B. 18. Wiech L. 16. Wojciechowski M.	31. Dzieciol E. 11. Famulak M. 22. Klimek P. 4. Misiak P. 39. Rosolek M. 9. Rybak A. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Szoka G.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jakubik D. (Own goal),
10', Bobek A. ↓, Bomba L. ↑,
12', Rudol S. 🟨,
22', Craciun A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 0, Piasecki F. ⚽, Hinokio K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zbrog J. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
46', Jakubik D. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Wysokinski M. ⚽,
52', 4 - 0, Arasa A. ⚽,
56', Loffelsend J. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
57', Arasa A. ↓, Toma B. ↑,
57', Terlecki K. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,
57', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
57', Pakulski D. ↓, Dzieciol E. ↑,
66', Piasecki F. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
75', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, ŁKS is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 8.11% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	ŁKS Łódź - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	3:1
06.04.25	Pogoń Siedlce - ŁKS Łódź	1:1
13.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
Club Friendly
18.01.23	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3

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