Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Znicz Biała Piska

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.1	8.4
	1.23	6.46	7.64
	1.18	6.03	12.13	Watch
	1.25	5.55	8.45	Watch
	1.19	6.35	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.49)	6.1 ↑ (4.4)	9.28 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
75.2%

Draw
15%

Znicz Biała Piska
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

20.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki's performance.

Znicz Biała Piska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Znicz Biała Piska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Biała Piska than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Znicz Biała Piska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Świt will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Piekarski P. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Olpinski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 3 - 0, Leonowicz F. ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Demianenko D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 2.

Świt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Znicz Biała Piska is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Świt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Świt is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Świt won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.10.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWT
- Znicz Biała Piska
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.10.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Troszyn	0:7 ✺
03.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Znicz Biała Piska	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Mławianka Mława	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Broń Radom - Znicz Biała Piska	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Widzew Łódź II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.05.22	Znicz Biała Piska - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0
13.10.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	0:2
15.05.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	7:1
03.04.21	Znicz Biała Piska - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:2
19.09.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	0:1
14.08.19	Znicz Biała Piska - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
23.03.19	Znicz Biała Piska - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1

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