The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Żabbar St. Patrick 19.4%
Draw 24.8%
Birkirkara 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
25.3%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
24.5%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żabbar St. Patrick's form might have worsened.
Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birkirkara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Żabbar St. Patrick - Birkirkara Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 2. Brucic K. 89. Fontanella M. 18. Gouhon P. F. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. (C) 22. Leonardi Z. 4. Magri S. 16. Micallef J. 8. M'Mombwa C. 29. Vinicius Kanu
1. Ondoa F. (G) 99. Amarildo 28. Brewer S. 94. Fernandinho 3. Frazan 14. Jefferson Vinicius 25. Micallef N. 22. Muscat Z. (C) 30. Pablo Gabriel 27. Sasere F. 74. Vassallo J.
Substitutes
11. Agius N. 33. Agyeman A. 31. Cassar G. 77. Ellard A. 70. Fenech K. 7. Lancioni N. 1. Leon S. (G) 71. Melillo T. 32. Moriceau T. 17. Pisani J. 3. Polidano Z.
13. Al Tumi R. (G) 10. Busuttil J. 88. Djordjevic A. 23. El Hazawi D. (G) 15. Fenech K. 77. Garzia A. 24. Gill B. 97. Kadu 17. Pahama L. 9. Reid K. 20. Zani B.
Coaches
Agius G.
Zammit P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Jovancic S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Sasere F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Joao Mafra ↓, Lancioni N. ↑,
46', Fontanella M. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
46', Fernandinho ↓, Djordjevic A. ↑,
75', Jefferson Vinicius 🟨,
79', Jefferson Vinicius ↓, Kadu ↑,
79', Amarildo ↓, Pahama L. ↑,
79', Leonardi Z. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
83', Frazan 🟨,
90', Moriceau T. 🟨,
90', Gouhon P. F. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Pablo Gabriel ⚽,
90+8', Magri S. ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1.
Żabbar has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Birkirkara has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Birkirkara is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Żabbar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Żabbar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:5 goals (averaging 0:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Birkirkara
6
3
1
2
9:4
5
10
9
Zabbar
6
1
2
3
5:9
-4
5
Last Results with these Odds
Birkirkara - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Malta
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Mohorovic P. (G) 
Fontanella M. 
Gouhon P. F. 
Joao Mafra 
Jovancic S. (C) 
Leonardi Z. 
M'Mombwa C. 
Ondoa F. (G) 
Brewer S. 
Sasere F. 
Agyeman A. 
Ellard A. 
Lancioni N. 
Pahama L. 
Zani B. 
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