Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Tonna G. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gżira United		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.10	2.37
	2.65	3.10	2.28
	2.67	3.25	2.44
	2.64	3.32	2.46	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.40
	2.68	3.50	2.37
	2.55	3.20	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.25)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	2.39 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
34.3%

Draw
27.9%

Żabbar St. Patrick
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

27.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gżira United's performance.

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 45. Ange M. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Joao Teixeira 7. Luisinho 27. Maio F. 3. Mentz G. (C) 2. Pllana A. 30. Xuereb D.	30. Mohorovic P. (G) 2. Brucic K. 89. Fontanella M. 10. Joao Mafra 21. Jovancic S. (C) 7. Lancioni N. 22. Leonardi Z. 71. Melillo T. 16. Micallef J. 8. M'Mombwa C. 32. Moriceau T.
Substitutes
9. Andre 17. De Flavia A. 32. Farias J. 11. Farrugia D. 4. Joyce N. 99. Lovegrove C. 10. Maxuell Samurai 15. Pena Serna J. 44. Saldanha 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.	11. Agius N. 39. Callus A. 31. Cassar G. 70. Fenech K. 18. Gouhon P. F. 1. Leon S. (G) 4. Magri S. 17. Pisani J. 23. Polidano Z. 24. Tapias C. 29. Vinicius Kanu
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Agius G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Borg B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luisinho ↓, Maxuell Samurai ↑,
46', Borg B. ↓, Saldanha ↑,
59', Jovancic S. 🟨,
63', Moriceau T. ↓, Pisani J. ↑,
63', Melillo T. ↓, Gouhon P. F. ↑,
68', Ange M. ↓, Andre ↑,
73', Joao Mafra ↓, Vinicius Kanu ↑,
77', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 1.

Żabbar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
02.09.26	Floriana - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Balzan - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
23.05.26	Valletta - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
06.09.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
11.01.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2
28.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	2:0
11.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	1:2
13.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	3:0
24.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1
02.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1

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