Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.04	3.06	3.01
	2.05	3.06	3.01
	2.11	3.34	3.1
	2.12	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.21)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	2.97 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
42.5%

Draw
27.6%

Marsa
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Ruiz E. (Pen),
42', Agius L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Żabbar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marsa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Żabbar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Żabbar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.03.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Senglea Athletic	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Żurrieq	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTTW
- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
09.03.24	Żurrieq - Marsa	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Marsa - Melita	0:4 ✺
24.02.24	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsa	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Senglea Athletic - Marsa	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
11.02.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:3
21.01.24	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:1
07.03.18	Marsa - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2

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